All,
Please note that www.wizardbet.blogspot.com is now redundant, and our new site is now live at www.wizardbet.co.uk
For all our future work please refer to that site.
These are exciting times at Wizardbet and I hope you continue to follow us...
Many thanks, onwards and upwards
Wednesday 9 July 2014
Sunday 1 December 2013
Sunday - 'Dog' day?
Really quick post and I am hopeful one of the underdogs can land a sucker punch today :)
City's superb home record vs Swansea's mixed form would look like a home-banker but this season has a tendency to surprise. Hull lost last time out at home to Palace, while Liverpool contributed to a highly entertaining Merseyside Derby. Southampton are a favourite of mine, and Chelsea have been patchy at best.
So, the bets for today are:
Hull
Swansea
Southampton
1pt win singles
0.5pt Trixie @ 11/2, 11/2 & 13/1
Best of luck!
City's superb home record vs Swansea's mixed form would look like a home-banker but this season has a tendency to surprise. Hull lost last time out at home to Palace, while Liverpool contributed to a highly entertaining Merseyside Derby. Southampton are a favourite of mine, and Chelsea have been patchy at best.
So, the bets for today are:
Hull
Swansea
Southampton
1pt win singles
0.5pt Trixie @ 11/2, 11/2 & 13/1
Best of luck!
Saturday 23 November 2013
Back to the Prem - Weekend 23/11 (and a horse bet!)
Hello all,
We return to the Premiership now after another boring and frustrating International week! Last time out was massively frustrating for us, we hit two winners, but we were mightily close to another as WBA very nearly ended Mourinho's Chelsea's Prem home record, but due to a dubious penalty this was not the case.
Still the results are:
WBA to win = -0.25pts
Villa to win = +1.875pts
Liverpool to win to nil = +1.1
Arsenal to win = -1pt
Profit + 1.725.
This week sees some really interesting games - the obvious ones in the Merseyside Derby, City v Spurs but also Arsenal v Southampton, and overall it looks like a tough betting job on first views.
In the early kick off I am going to side with Everton here. I think 23/10 looks a little too big, despite their recent form, which I am not paying too much attention to all things considered. I expect them to be a little fresher than Liverpool, and they have a bit more energy in the centre of the park, and as said, this is an area of concern for Liverpool. Everton's recent derby form is questionable, but I am happy to take the chance at a good price here. This game is a real test of this Liverpool side, and it is interesting to note Rodgers has dropped Sturridge in favour of another body in midfield.
1pt Everton @ 23/10 Coral
Arsenal vs Southampton is another really interesting game, and as readers will know I have been big backers of Soton this year. Today I am going to chance them again, even though the market is getting more wise to them as we go on, they should be able to run Arsenal close here. Their famed pressing game will be interesting, and it has been seen (United did it well last week) it is possible to get in and around Arsenal and stifle them. I want to take the chance again.
Soton to win 0.5pts @ 5.84 Pinnacle
Soton +0.5 goals, 1pt @ 2.43 Dafabet
Stoke vs Sunderland is the final game for today, and I think Stoke may be a tad overpriced at home to a Sunderland I still don't yet rate. Stoke are one of these sides who can be very good one week and poor the next, even though we saw aspects of both of this side to their game away to Swansea last time out. I just think they should have too much for Sunderland, who are still learning under Poyet and I can't have them at the prices.
Stoke to win 1.5pts @ 2.15 general.
Also - a horse bet today.
I quite like Tiday Bay in the Betfair at Haydock (3pm), and I am advising a 1pt each-way bet @ 17/2 with Bet Victor (top 3, 1/5 odds).
All the best today!
We return to the Premiership now after another boring and frustrating International week! Last time out was massively frustrating for us, we hit two winners, but we were mightily close to another as WBA very nearly ended Mourinho's Chelsea's Prem home record, but due to a dubious penalty this was not the case.
Still the results are:
WBA to win = -0.25pts
Villa to win = +1.875pts
Liverpool to win to nil = +1.1
Arsenal to win = -1pt
Profit + 1.725.
This week sees some really interesting games - the obvious ones in the Merseyside Derby, City v Spurs but also Arsenal v Southampton, and overall it looks like a tough betting job on first views.
In the early kick off I am going to side with Everton here. I think 23/10 looks a little too big, despite their recent form, which I am not paying too much attention to all things considered. I expect them to be a little fresher than Liverpool, and they have a bit more energy in the centre of the park, and as said, this is an area of concern for Liverpool. Everton's recent derby form is questionable, but I am happy to take the chance at a good price here. This game is a real test of this Liverpool side, and it is interesting to note Rodgers has dropped Sturridge in favour of another body in midfield.
1pt Everton @ 23/10 Coral
Arsenal vs Southampton is another really interesting game, and as readers will know I have been big backers of Soton this year. Today I am going to chance them again, even though the market is getting more wise to them as we go on, they should be able to run Arsenal close here. Their famed pressing game will be interesting, and it has been seen (United did it well last week) it is possible to get in and around Arsenal and stifle them. I want to take the chance again.
Soton to win 0.5pts @ 5.84 Pinnacle
Soton +0.5 goals, 1pt @ 2.43 Dafabet
Stoke vs Sunderland is the final game for today, and I think Stoke may be a tad overpriced at home to a Sunderland I still don't yet rate. Stoke are one of these sides who can be very good one week and poor the next, even though we saw aspects of both of this side to their game away to Swansea last time out. I just think they should have too much for Sunderland, who are still learning under Poyet and I can't have them at the prices.
Stoke to win 1.5pts @ 2.15 general.
Also - a horse bet today.
I quite like Tiday Bay in the Betfair at Haydock (3pm), and I am advising a 1pt each-way bet @ 17/2 with Bet Victor (top 3, 1/5 odds).
All the best today!
Saturday 9 November 2013
Quick Post - Weekend 9/10 Nov
Really quick today, hoping to turn a corner.
WBA to win - 0.25pts @ 11.15 Pinnacle
Villa to win - 1.5pts @ 2.25 Bet Victor
Liverpool to win to nil - 1pt @ 11/10 Paddy Power
Arsenal to win 1pt @ 3.3 Bet Victor
Best of luck
WBA to win - 0.25pts @ 11.15 Pinnacle
Villa to win - 1.5pts @ 2.25 Bet Victor
Liverpool to win to nil - 1pt @ 11/10 Paddy Power
Arsenal to win 1pt @ 3.3 Bet Victor
Best of luck
Tuesday 5 November 2013
Results Update
It really has been a miserable start to the season in terms of hard numbers and profits (or lack of). As any long term followers of this blog know, our approach was always systematic and religious. Because of changing personal circumstances, it was impossible to keep this up, but to keep the blog up and running from an enjoyment perspective, I blog about my personal fancies for the weekend football. There may be the odd horse thrown in along the way, but that really did take dedicated amounts of time I just do not currently have.
Anyhow, the results are updated for you under the respective tab. There have been some bets which we haven't got a good run for our money, but also some where we've just been a tad unlucky in my opinion, having watched and analyses the games. It is tough though, and I have talked myself out of certain bets (WBA away to Utd) springs to mind which would have had the P&L chart looking completely differently!
What I think you will see is the unpredictability of the Premier League and that we are right to look for poorly priced favourites who are too short to oppose.
A small reflection for those who want to bring up the pain:
Chelsea turned in an awful performance away to Newcastle, as Pardew got his tactics and team selection right.
Norwich were well beaten 7-0 by City, and they looked really poor, despite a couple of the early goals being absolute horror shows. These game it is always essential for the away dog to grow into the game, but early goals are killers.
Villa were a tad unlucky in a dour game - Weiman was brought down when clean through with nothing given, whilst Benteke smashed a late header off the bar. West Ham had no real chances, just aimless crosses, and on another day this tight game might have gone for us.
WBA were awfully poor against Liverpool, who has Sturridge and Suarez in fine form with some fine goals.
Stoke were unlucky to lose away to United, twice being in front to be hit very late on. United were real poor, until a chance (but excellent) header from Rooney from a corner gave them the momentum swing.
Norwich away to Arsenal conceded early on to a goal of a season contender from Wilshere, before throwing away the handicap late on, and similarly that day Cardiff went ahead at Chelsea, before a real controversial goal involving Eto' was given.
So I think the last few weeks a couple of things could have gone our way all things being a tad different, but we stick through these tough times.
Best of luck in all you do
Anyhow, the results are updated for you under the respective tab. There have been some bets which we haven't got a good run for our money, but also some where we've just been a tad unlucky in my opinion, having watched and analyses the games. It is tough though, and I have talked myself out of certain bets (WBA away to Utd) springs to mind which would have had the P&L chart looking completely differently!
What I think you will see is the unpredictability of the Premier League and that we are right to look for poorly priced favourites who are too short to oppose.
A small reflection for those who want to bring up the pain:
Chelsea turned in an awful performance away to Newcastle, as Pardew got his tactics and team selection right.
Norwich were well beaten 7-0 by City, and they looked really poor, despite a couple of the early goals being absolute horror shows. These game it is always essential for the away dog to grow into the game, but early goals are killers.
Villa were a tad unlucky in a dour game - Weiman was brought down when clean through with nothing given, whilst Benteke smashed a late header off the bar. West Ham had no real chances, just aimless crosses, and on another day this tight game might have gone for us.
WBA were awfully poor against Liverpool, who has Sturridge and Suarez in fine form with some fine goals.
Stoke were unlucky to lose away to United, twice being in front to be hit very late on. United were real poor, until a chance (but excellent) header from Rooney from a corner gave them the momentum swing.
Norwich away to Arsenal conceded early on to a goal of a season contender from Wilshere, before throwing away the handicap late on, and similarly that day Cardiff went ahead at Chelsea, before a real controversial goal involving Eto' was given.
So I think the last few weeks a couple of things could have gone our way all things being a tad different, but we stick through these tough times.
Best of luck in all you do
Saturday 2 November 2013
Saturday 2nd Nov
Morning all,
Again, last week was tinged with frustration at the Man U Stoke game as some nice priced bets fell late on with that United comeback. I was completely wrong about the Baggies, as Liverpool, with Henderson in the middle of the park, shored up some of the gaps that have been evident with a Lucas-Gerrard-Moses axis. I would be mightily surprised if he is left out against Arsenal tonight as his pressing and work-rate really compliments that side.
Anyhow, on to today and I am finding things a little tricky in all honesty. Newcastle-Chelsea is an odd one as Newcastle on the surface may look a big price at 5/1 at home. I do not think this is the case though, and Chelsea really seem to be clicking into gear for me and look very strong with each passing week. They were a bit fortunate admittedly against Man City who played better stuff, but the efficiency of Chelsea was impressive, they can move the ball quickly and their transition stages from defence to attack are improving. Torres looks interested again and is scoring goals and really providing an outlet. Chelsea also seem to have the most gears for me - represented perfectly well against Arsenal in midweek. They snuffed out the game early on, before breaking incredibly well to go 1 nil up. They look the side to beat, and I think they can win comfortably today.
2.5pts Chelsea -1 goal @ 2.06 SBO Bet
I don't like Fulham or Man U as regular followers will testify, so I am staying away from that, whereas I am starting to come round to Hull, but with Sunderland still very early on into the Poyet reign I am leaving that to.
I will be supporting Norwich again though in some format. It remains to be seen how much the way they lost to Chelsea will hurt them, and I will echo my statements for Norwich against Arsenal. If it wasn't for some excellent attacking play and goals by Arsenal, they would have covered the handicap and this is why I am supporting them again. All the pressure is on City, and if Hughton can get his tactics right, Norwich can be comfortable enough with the ball to frustrate. My big concern is the form of Aguero, and Pellegrini giving a license for City to play, but I would rather go against the grain here. The price we are getting for the same bet is crazy really, when Arsenal were in much better form. The second bet is more than speculative, but the price looks a bit out to me so we will go in small.
1.5pts Norwich +1.5goals @ 2.42 188bet
0.25pts Norwich to win @ 17/1 Bet365
Stoke - Southampton will be interesting to watch and learn from this end, while I am happy to avoid WBA - Palace as well, even though Baggies possibly look a tad short on the surface. Arsenal - Liverpool will be of real interest, and as indicated above, the line-ups will be key - I sort of expect it to be more cagey than open, each team relying on the magic they can both be capable of.
Finally, I am heading towards to the West Ham - Villa game and we are backing Villa @ 14/5. West Ham have a few injury problems, while Villa welcome back their main man Benteke. Despite defeat last time out against Everton, Villa played well enough and created chances to have won the game. West Ham on the other hand have lost 3 home games on the trot now, and Villa are a side who, for me, prefer the nature of the game on the road. The only concern is Villa still tend to concede, but they look a better side on paper compared to West Ham at the minute in the forward line.
1pt Villa @ 14/5 Coral & 365
Best of luck whatever you do!
Again, last week was tinged with frustration at the Man U Stoke game as some nice priced bets fell late on with that United comeback. I was completely wrong about the Baggies, as Liverpool, with Henderson in the middle of the park, shored up some of the gaps that have been evident with a Lucas-Gerrard-Moses axis. I would be mightily surprised if he is left out against Arsenal tonight as his pressing and work-rate really compliments that side.
Anyhow, on to today and I am finding things a little tricky in all honesty. Newcastle-Chelsea is an odd one as Newcastle on the surface may look a big price at 5/1 at home. I do not think this is the case though, and Chelsea really seem to be clicking into gear for me and look very strong with each passing week. They were a bit fortunate admittedly against Man City who played better stuff, but the efficiency of Chelsea was impressive, they can move the ball quickly and their transition stages from defence to attack are improving. Torres looks interested again and is scoring goals and really providing an outlet. Chelsea also seem to have the most gears for me - represented perfectly well against Arsenal in midweek. They snuffed out the game early on, before breaking incredibly well to go 1 nil up. They look the side to beat, and I think they can win comfortably today.
2.5pts Chelsea -1 goal @ 2.06 SBO Bet
I don't like Fulham or Man U as regular followers will testify, so I am staying away from that, whereas I am starting to come round to Hull, but with Sunderland still very early on into the Poyet reign I am leaving that to.
I will be supporting Norwich again though in some format. It remains to be seen how much the way they lost to Chelsea will hurt them, and I will echo my statements for Norwich against Arsenal. If it wasn't for some excellent attacking play and goals by Arsenal, they would have covered the handicap and this is why I am supporting them again. All the pressure is on City, and if Hughton can get his tactics right, Norwich can be comfortable enough with the ball to frustrate. My big concern is the form of Aguero, and Pellegrini giving a license for City to play, but I would rather go against the grain here. The price we are getting for the same bet is crazy really, when Arsenal were in much better form. The second bet is more than speculative, but the price looks a bit out to me so we will go in small.
1.5pts Norwich +1.5goals @ 2.42 188bet
0.25pts Norwich to win @ 17/1 Bet365
Stoke - Southampton will be interesting to watch and learn from this end, while I am happy to avoid WBA - Palace as well, even though Baggies possibly look a tad short on the surface. Arsenal - Liverpool will be of real interest, and as indicated above, the line-ups will be key - I sort of expect it to be more cagey than open, each team relying on the magic they can both be capable of.
Finally, I am heading towards to the West Ham - Villa game and we are backing Villa @ 14/5. West Ham have a few injury problems, while Villa welcome back their main man Benteke. Despite defeat last time out against Everton, Villa played well enough and created chances to have won the game. West Ham on the other hand have lost 3 home games on the trot now, and Villa are a side who, for me, prefer the nature of the game on the road. The only concern is Villa still tend to concede, but they look a better side on paper compared to West Ham at the minute in the forward line.
1pt Villa @ 14/5 Coral & 365
Best of luck whatever you do!
Saturday 26 October 2013
Sat 26th
Real quick post today
No luck last week - the aim is to sit down and write up some results posts which I will do.
There are a couple of games this week which I am really interested in :)
Liverpool look mightily short against WBA at home, who I am chancing again. 7/1 looks a real good price for a team who did the double over Liverpool last year. WBA are solid through their spine, and this is you can hurt Liverpool, by over running the midfield and getting fluidity in front of their back 3. I will have two bets, an outright bet and a stronger bet on the handicaps which looks a real good price to me.
WBA to win - 1pt @ 8.3 Pinnacle
WBA +1 - 2pts @ 2.55 Pinnacle
Stoke at home looks your standard accumulator bet, but I want to keep Mark Hughes' side onside. I accept Man Utd looked like clicking into gear in midweek, but Stoke may enjoy the freedom here and they can keep the ball better than people think. These sorts of sides can hurt United, and Moyes is under pressure to get PL results.
Stoke to win - 1/2 pt @ 11.45 Pinnacle
Stoke +1.25goals - 1pt @ 2.28 generally
1pt U2.5 goals @ 2.20 Bet Victor.
Best of luck whatever you do
P.S I fancy Arsenal to bag a few as well - maybe some bonkers score lines for those who want an interest!
No luck last week - the aim is to sit down and write up some results posts which I will do.
There are a couple of games this week which I am really interested in :)
Liverpool look mightily short against WBA at home, who I am chancing again. 7/1 looks a real good price for a team who did the double over Liverpool last year. WBA are solid through their spine, and this is you can hurt Liverpool, by over running the midfield and getting fluidity in front of their back 3. I will have two bets, an outright bet and a stronger bet on the handicaps which looks a real good price to me.
WBA to win - 1pt @ 8.3 Pinnacle
WBA +1 - 2pts @ 2.55 Pinnacle
Stoke at home looks your standard accumulator bet, but I want to keep Mark Hughes' side onside. I accept Man Utd looked like clicking into gear in midweek, but Stoke may enjoy the freedom here and they can keep the ball better than people think. These sorts of sides can hurt United, and Moyes is under pressure to get PL results.
Stoke to win - 1/2 pt @ 11.45 Pinnacle
Stoke +1.25goals - 1pt @ 2.28 generally
1pt U2.5 goals @ 2.20 Bet Victor.
Best of luck whatever you do
P.S I fancy Arsenal to bag a few as well - maybe some bonkers score lines for those who want an interest!
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