Monday, 5 December 2011

Football Results

Desperate times on the football. Just when we feel we may get a boost and go on a winning run, we end back at square one. A lot of thinking and analysis goes into the football - but we are looking at a period over a year which just has not performed. Is it the end of football ratings? No, I don't think it is, but quite clearly it is more and more difficult with the huge increase of general knowledge within football. The way football ratings work varies, but essentially it is about selecting 'unfashionable teams', in the sense that they are normally overlooked as a bet, but more and more people know appreciate and acknowledge these sorts of factors (in layman's terms.) Don't get me wrong - we have not lost faith in the systems, but while you can not be concerned with short-term fluctuations, when these periods do drag on, you have to look at everything to find out 'why?' I am sure we have had some bad luck along the way too, but to reassure you, we constantly are looking for ways or means to improve.

Aberdeen lost 2-0 away to Kilmarnock = -1pt
Birmingham lost 1-0 away to Cardiff, after going down to 10men = -1pt
Burnley WON 1-2 away at West Ham - a big scalp, and saved the weekend from being a complete disaster. Settled at odds of 6.29, which was available on BF at the off = +5.29pts
Everton lost 1-0 at home to Stoke = -1pt
Hearts lost 1-2 at home to St Johnstone = -1pt
Malaga lost 3-2 away to Sociedad, contriving to throw away a 1-2 lead in the 89th min, and then go on to lose = -1pt
Notts Forest lost 1-0 away to Brighton = -1pt
Villarreal lost 1-0 away to Santander = -1pt

So, from so many draws costing us last Saturday, it is defeats which have done us over this time. 1 winner from 8 is a really poor strike rate, and thanks to Burnley (who came from behind) the loss was only -1.71pts. There is a sense of injustice in some, but you always tend to feel this way in defeat. Blues were never really in much danger until losing a man, Kilmarnock scored 2 from 3 shots, Everton lost to a Stoke side coming off the back of 4 defeats after European midweek games, Hearts dominated St Johnstone in terms of possession (61-39) and had more shots, but lost, Malaga were winning until the 89th min, Brighton scored with their only shot on target, Villarreal lost to bottom of the table, but also dominated in terms of possession. Let's remain positive though!

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