Horses:
Not a pretty few days, and to be honest, I am looking forward to Cheltenham, but not to the rest of the NH season unfortunately. Bring on the flat :)
Wednesday 7th March:
Noble Scholar fell = -1pt
Plunkett drifted in the betting, going off 11/1 but came 2nd = -1pt
Meet Me At Dawn pulled up = -1pt
Delganey Gunner fell = -1pt
So three selections did not finish the race, and the one that did came home 2nd at a decent price. Still, -4pts on the day.
Thursday 8th March:
Brixen ran an error-ridden run = -1pt
Ezra Church, a 3pt winner not so long ago could only manage 3rd this time out, just missing out = -1pt
Transact never really threatened as the 2pt bet = -2pts
Again, a blank day of -4pts
Friday 9th March:
The Disengager was a NR
Tarquinius was well backed into 6/4f, but beaten well after mistakes = -1pt
Might As Well, also made a mistake late on, which seemingly put paid to a challenge = -1pt
See The Legend couldn't match the winner = -1pt
Shooting Times pulled up, and never looked quite right during the race = -1pt
Red Harbour 2nd, going off a well backed 9/4f, but just couldn't catch the 25/1 winner = -1pt
-5pts, and again, on the right side of a couple of decent gambles, which just didn't pay off
Saturday 10th March:
Night Lily 4th, but not by much, just couldn't find the extra = -1pt
Adranian was bumped during the race, and was leading, but just tailed off = -1pt
Notabotheronme 4th, did lead, and started well. An error 4 out slowed him down = -1pt
Daaloob, nicely backed, but weakened late on = -1pt
Plein Pouvoir 2nd by a length = -1pt
Rimini pulled up = -1pt
Sammy Spiderman just a bit one paced = -1pt
Speed Master 4th, looked to be forming a real challenge, but weakened = -1pt
A very disappointing day of -8pts, and not at a lot one can say really.
Sunday 11th March:
Babysitter never went well enough = -1pt
Border Reiver one paced = -1pt
Fortunately just two selections, so it was only another 2pts lost!
Summary:
So from Wednesday to Sunday we have chucked away 23pts, and it really is not acceptable. Not quite sure what to say, but this is pretty much near a 50pt plus draw-down from the high of Year Two. It is also going to be the second NH season we have struggled to really make continued profits, which is not really good enough.
Football:
Unfortunately, I am going to claim that I 'called it'. That being another late equaliser costing us big. We need to look on the face of it. A lot of the selections were at rather large prices, so there was a chance the weekend could have gone as it did. The closing lines on some were big; Bournemouth 4.75, Hereford 4.00, Rochdale 7.00 and WBA 11.00. I think the 8 game odds combined just before the off paid close to 70000/1 so that does explain the odds we were up against. Either way, there was (another) late loss which would have made the weekend into a bearable loss, had they held on, but now, the weekend becomes a real bad one. Bristol Rovers, as a 1.5pt lead 2-0 away at Torquay, before a fine double save from the Rovers keeper went without reward as Torquay bundled the ball in at the 3rd attempt, 20mins from time. Rovers then spurned a great chance to probably put the game to bed, but it was squandered, before a simple ball over the top of the defence was flicked in, in the 90th min to rescue a draw for Torquay, and cost us big. At a closing line of 4.00, the swing from recording +4.5pts profit on the game, to -1.5pts is tough to take. Burnley also squandered a lead, whilst plucky Hereford did hold on for us.
Blackpool lost 3-1 = -1pt
Bournemouth went down 3-0 after 3 real early goals = -1pt
Bristol Rovers drew 2-2 = -1.5pts
Burnley drew 1-1 = -1.5pts
Hereford won 0-1 away to Morecambe = +3pts
Rochdale put up an impressive rearguard display drawing 2-2 away to high-flyers Huddersfield, but they couldn't find a winner = -1.5pts
Scunthorpe drew 0-0, despite recording 18shots, 10 on target as the 2pt bet = -2pts
WBA were easily put aside by Man U = -1pt
So our selections performed ok in terms of results, but just couldn't convert the draws into wins. -6.5pts is the weekends loss. Admittedly there is a time when all this 'luck' keeps going against you, one has to wonder whether it is still just 'luck' playing a role.
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